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Hurricane OPHELIA


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0300 UTC SUN OCT 02 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  62.2W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  23 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 105SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 300SE 270SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  62.2W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  62.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 37.4N  61.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 42.5N  59.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 46.5N  53.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  45SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 180SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 49.5N  44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...  0NE 240SE 240SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 53.0N  22.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 400SE 400SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.8N  62.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BRENNAN
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Tuesday, 17-Jul-2012 13:44:05 UTC