Hurricane OPHELIA

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HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1500 UTC SAT OCT 01 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
 
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION
OF THE AVALON PENINSULA IN NEWFOUNDLAND LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N  62.9W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  75SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N  62.9W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  62.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 37.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 42.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 46.5N  52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...170NE 240SE 105SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 50.5N  33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 225SE 225SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.5N  62.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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