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Tropical Storm OPHELIA (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
2100 UTC WED SEP 28 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  60.6W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  60.6W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  60.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.2N  61.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.6N  61.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.3N  62.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 25.2N  63.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 31.0N  62.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 40.0N  59.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 52.0N  49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N  60.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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