Tropical Storm OPHELIA

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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1500 UTC SUN SEP 25 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  60.4W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  60.4W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  60.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.8N  61.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.6N  62.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.6N  64.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 21.4N  65.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 22.9N  66.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 25.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 27.5N  67.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  60.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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