Tropical Storm OPHELIA

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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1500 UTC SAT SEP 24 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  56.0W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 100SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 100SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  56.0W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  55.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.8N  57.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.9N  59.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 20.9N  60.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 21.6N  61.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 23.3N  63.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 25.3N  63.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 27.3N  63.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N  56.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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