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Tropical Storm NATE


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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152011
400 PM CDT THU SEP 08 2011
 
...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS NATE STRONGER...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...19.7N 92.3W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSE OR 160 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.3 WEST.  NATE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H.  VERY LITTLE
MOTION IS FORECAST TONIGHT.  A SLOW NORTHWARD TO NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN ON FRIDAY.
 
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70
MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND NATE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
HURRICANE BY FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 
995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST OF
MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
 
RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER THE
MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE...TABASCO...AND SOUTHERN VERACRUZ.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN
THE WARNING AREA.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
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