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Hurricane MARIA (Text)

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HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
0300 UTC FRI SEP 16 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO BRIGUS SOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO JONES HARBOUR.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE AVALON
PENINSULA THIS EVENING OR FRIDAY MORNING.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N  63.5W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  37 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 300SE 330SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N  63.5W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.8N  64.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 43.3N  58.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 130SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 120SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 50.7N  50.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...300NE 320SE 400SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 58.0N  45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...300NE 320SE 350SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.5N  63.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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