Hurricane MARIA

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HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
2100 UTC THU SEP 15 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE AVALON
PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO BRIGUS SOUTH AND A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE AVALON PENINSULA FROM ARNOLDS
COVE TO JONES HARBOR.
 
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR BERMUDA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO BRIGUS SOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO JONES HARBOR.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF AVALON
PENINSULA THIS EVENING.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N  65.6W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  31 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 210SE  45SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 300SE 330SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N  65.6W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  66.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 39.6N  61.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 130SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 120SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 46.7N  54.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 54.5N  45.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 320SE 270SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z...ABSORBED BY A COLD FRONT
  
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.2N  65.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN
 
 
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