Tropical Storm MARIA

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TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
2100 UTC MON SEP 12 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  67.5W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 135SE  75SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  67.5W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  67.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 21.6N  68.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...175NE 175SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 22.8N  68.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 24.8N  69.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 27.5N  69.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 34.5N  67.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 45.0N  55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N  67.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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