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Tropical Storm MARIA (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
0900 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  56.2W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  30SE  30SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  56.2W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  55.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 14.5N  58.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 16.0N  61.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.0N  65.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 22.0N  69.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  40SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 24.0N  71.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 27.0N  73.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N  56.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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