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Hurricane IRENE


ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  19A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092011
200 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011
 
...EYE OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRENE NEARING THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.2N 76.0W
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM ESE OF NASSAU
ABOUT 760 MI...1225 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHEASTERN...CENTRAL...AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
 
INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD THROUGH NEW ENGLAND SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE. HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES
WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS
THIS MORNING.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED BY
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 24.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.0 WEST.  IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH TONIGHT.  ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL MOVE OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TODAY...AND PASS WELL OFFSHORE OF THE EAST
COAST OF CENTRAL AND NORTH FLORIDA TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED SLIGHTLY TO NEAR 115
MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  IRENE IS A CATEGORY THREE
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  FLUCTUATIONS
IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...BUT SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
 
IRENE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-
STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255 MILES...410 KM.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE
HUNTERS WAS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE STILL OCCURRING
OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN AND THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  WINDS
WILL INCREASE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...REACHING HURRICANE
FORCE LATER TODAY.
 
STORM SURGE...IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF IRENE...
AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS
MUCH AS 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS OVER THE BAHAMAS.
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DANGEROUS WAVES.
 
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6
TO 12 INCHES OVER THE BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. RAINS WILL
BE DIMINISHING ACROSS THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS WITH ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE...BRINGING THE MAXIMUM
STORM TOTAL TO 6 TO 12 INCHES.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE WILL BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
THE COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES ON THURSDAY.  THESE
SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS.  PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Tuesday, 17-Jul-2012 13:43:51 UTC