| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Hurricane IRENE (Text)

ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092011
0300 UTC SAT AUG 27 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM POINT...NEW
YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT
AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE RIVER INLET
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO MERRIMACK RIVER
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MERRIMACK RIVER TO EASTPORT MAINE
 
INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
IRENE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  76.9W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  951 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT.......140NE 125SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT.......250NE 225SE 140SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 330SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  76.9W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  77.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 34.2N  76.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...140NE 125SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...250NE 225SE 140SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 36.7N  75.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  45NW.
50 KT...140NE 125SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...250NE 225SE 140SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 39.8N  74.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  45NW.
50 KT...140NE 125SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...250NE 225SE 140SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 43.8N  71.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  40NW.
34 KT...270NE 240SE 140SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 52.0N  62.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 270SE  90SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 56.5N  46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 57.5N  26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.6N  76.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN