Hurricane IRENE

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HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092011
2100 UTC FRI AUG 26 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF SANDY HOOK TO
SAGAMORE BEACH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING NEW YORK CITY...LONG
ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT AND RHODE ISLAND...
BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF SAGAMORE
BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE MOUTH OF THE
MERRIMACK RIVER TO EASTPORT MAINE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM POINT...NEW
YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT
AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE RIVER INLET
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO MERRIMACK RIVER
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MERRIMACK RIVER TO EASTPORT MAINE
 
INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
IRENE.
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  77.4W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  951 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT.......140NE 125SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT.......250NE 225SE 140SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 350SE 200SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  77.4W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  77.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 33.4N  77.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...140NE 125SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...250NE 225SE 140SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 35.5N  76.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  45NW.
50 KT...140NE 125SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...250NE 225SE 140SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 38.2N  75.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  45NW.
50 KT...140NE 125SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...250NE 225SE 140SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 41.8N  73.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  40NW.
34 KT...270NE 240SE 140SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 50.5N  65.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 270SE  90SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 56.5N  51.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 58.0N  32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N  77.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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