Hurricane IRENE

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HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092011
0900 UTC WED AUG 24 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI IS
DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* THE SOUTHEASTERN...CENTRAL...AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N  72.9W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE  90SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N  72.9W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N  72.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 22.5N  74.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 24.1N  75.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 25.8N  76.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...190NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 27.7N  77.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...190NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 32.0N  76.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 170SE 130SW 160NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 36.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 42.0N  71.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N  72.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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