Tropical Storm IRENE

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TROPICAL STORM IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092011
0300 UTC MON AUG 22 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
TO A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA
* THE ENTIRE COASTLINE OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  65.5W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  15SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......130NE  60SE  30SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE  60SE  15SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  65.5W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  65.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.6N  67.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  15SW  45NW.
34 KT...130NE  75SE  45SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.4N  70.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  45SE  30SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.1N  72.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  45SE  30SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.9N  73.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE  75SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.5N  77.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  75SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 26.5N  79.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 30.0N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  65.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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