Tropical Storm IRENE

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TROPICAL STORM IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092011
0300 UTC SUN AUG 21 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI
BORDER TO CABO ENGANO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTIN
* DOMINICA
* BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...MONTSERRAT
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER TO CABO ENGANO
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY.
 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATE ON
MONDAY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  59.9W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......105NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  59.9W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  59.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.0N  62.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...105NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.6N  65.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 17.2N  68.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...105NE  60SE  45SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 18.0N  70.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 21.5N  78.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 24.5N  80.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N  59.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BRENNAN
 
 
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