Tropical Storm GERT

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TROPICAL STORM GERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072011
1500 UTC MON AUG 15 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR BERMUDA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
NONE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  63.2W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  20SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  63.2W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  63.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 34.3N  62.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 37.8N  59.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  15SW  10NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 40.8N  54.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  20SW  10NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 43.4N  48.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 48.5N  33.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  60SW  20NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.0N  63.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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