Tropical Depression SEVEN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072011
0900 UTC SUN AUG 14 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  62.4W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  62.4W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  62.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 29.4N  63.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 31.2N  63.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 33.7N  63.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 37.3N  61.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 45.5N  52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  60SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N  62.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BRENNAN
 
 
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