Tropical Storm ARLENE

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012011
100 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2011
 
...ARLENE WEAKENS AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...21.5N 98.1W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSW OF TAMPICO MEXICO
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NNW OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...80 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA PESCA MEXICO SOUTHWARD TO PALMA SOLA MEXICO
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.1 WEST. ARLENE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND A GENERAL WESTWARD
TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WILL MOVE
FARTHER INLAND OVER MAINLAND MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...
80 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...AND ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER
THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL MEXICO BY FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
MAINLY OVER WATER TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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RAINFALL...ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER EASTERN AND NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND
THROUGH PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO TODAY.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1
TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR
AND TO THE NORTH OF CABO ROJO.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
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