Tropical Storm ARLENE

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012011
1000 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2011
 
...CENTER OF ARLENE NOW INLAND JUST WEST OF CABO ROJO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...21.6N 97.7W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM NNW OF TUXPAN MEXICO
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SSE OF TAMPICO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM
BARRA DE NAUTLA TO LA CRUZ TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
SOUTH OF PALMA SOLA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA PESCA MEXICO SOUTHWARD TO PALMA SOLA MEXICO
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.7 WEST. ARLENE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND A GENERAL WESTWARD
TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARLENE SHOULD
CONTINUE MOVING INLAND OVER MAINLAND MEXICO TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...AND
ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL
MEXICO BY FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
MAINLY OVER WATER TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  THE MEXICAN AUTOMATED
STATION AT ISLA LOBOS REPORTED 10-MINUTE MEAN WINDS OF 42 MPH...
69 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 56 MPH...90 KM/H...AS THE CENTER OF
ARLENE PASSED JUST NORTH OF THE STATION.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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RAINFALL...ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER EASTERN AND NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND
THROUGH PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO TODAY.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1
TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR
AND TO THE NORTH OF CABO ROJO.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.
 
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FORECASTER BEVEN/BERG
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