Tropical Depression GEORGETTE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122010
1100 PM PDT TUE SEP 21 2010
 
...CENTER OF GEORGETTE NOW OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...25.3N 110.4W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM N OF LA PAZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...23 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM HUATABAMPITO NORTHWARD TO BAHIA
KINO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
GEORGETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.4
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR
14 MPH...23 KM/HR.  A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD MOTION AT A
SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA ON WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY PRIOR TO
LANDFALL.  GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AFTER LANDFALL IN
MAINLAND MEXICO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH AREA ON WEDNESDAY.
 
RAINFALL...GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA AND
THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND WESTERN SONORA...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.  MOISTURE FROM
GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
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