Tropical Depression GEORGETTE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL     EP122010
800 PM PDT TUE SEP 21 2010
 
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST OF
MAINLAND MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 110.3W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM N OF LA PAZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM HUATABAMPITO NORTHWARD TO BAHIA KINO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM HUATABAMPITO NORTHWARD TO BAHIA
KINO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
GEORGETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.3
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13
MPH...20 KM/HR.  A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD MOTION AT A
SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. 
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE OVER THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA WEDNESDAY MORNING AND MAKE LANDFALL IN THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH AREA LATER ON WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY PRIOR TO
LANDFALL.  GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AFTER LANDFALL IN
MAINLAND MEXICO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH AREA ON WEDNESDAY.
 
RAINFALL...GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA AND
THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND WESTERN SONORA...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.  MOISTURE FROM
GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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