Tropical Depression ELEVEN-E
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112010
800 AM PDT SAT SEP 04 2010
SATELLITE IMAGERY...ALONG WITH MEXICAN RADAR AND SURFACE DATA...
INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS WEAKENED TO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE
AREA OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
MOVE NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS UNTIL DISSIPATION.
ALTHOUGH THE LOW IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE...THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
SEVERAL LARGE-SCALE MODELS FORECAST THE POSSIBILITY OF A TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMING IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO. IT IS UNCLEAR WHETHER THIS WOULD COME FROM THE
REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E OR A BRAND NEW
DEVELOPMENT.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 04/1500Z 17.0N 95.8W 25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12HR VT 05/0000Z 17.8N 96.4W 20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24HR VT 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED
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FORECASTER BEVEN
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