Tropical Storm ESTELLE
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TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072010
0300 UTC SAT AUG 07 2010
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 106.2W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 0SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 106.2W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 105.8W
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.8N 107.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.3N 109.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.8N 110.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.1N 111.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.3N 112.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 19.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 19.5N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 106.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
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FORECASTER BROWN
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