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Hurricane TOMAS (Text)

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HURRICANE TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  32A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
200 AM EDT SAT NOV 06 2010
 
...TOMAS NEARING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...21.4N 71.8W
ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM ENE OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER
EASTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.8 WEST. TOMAS IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A NORTHEASTWARD
OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF TOMAS WILL PASS OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS DURING
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
...AND TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120
MILES...195 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...
AND PUERTO RICO. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN CUBA. 
 
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING OR EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE ONGOING OR EXPECTED THIS MORNING IN PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AREA.
 
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS
MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE
WINDS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. STORM SURGE FLOODING IN
THESE AREAS SHOULD DIMINISH LATER TODAY. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/FRANKLIN
 
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