Tropical Storm TOMAS

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TROPICAL STORM TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
2100 UTC THU NOV 04 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI
BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 36
HOURS.  THESE CONDITIONS MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  76.0W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......105NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  76.0W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  76.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 17.8N  75.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.1N  74.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.6N  72.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 24.8N  71.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 27.5N  69.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...105NE 105SE  90SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 28.5N  66.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 29.0N  64.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  76.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/BEVEN
 
 
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