Tropical Storm TOMAS

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TROPICAL STORM TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
2100 UTC MON NOV 01 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN JAMAICA...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND HAITI SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  69.7W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  69.7W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  69.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 13.4N  71.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...110NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.7N  73.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.0N  74.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.3N  74.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 15.1N  75.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 18.0N  73.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 21.0N  71.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N  69.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
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FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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