Hurricane TOMAS

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HURRICANE TOMAS SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
2200 UTC SAT OCT 30 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* TOBAGO
* GRENADA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  61.6W AT 30/2200Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  25SE  15SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE  90SE  50SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  61.6W AT 30/2200Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  61.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 14.0N  63.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 14.5N  65.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 14.9N  67.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  35SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.2N  69.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.7N  72.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 100SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 16.0N  74.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 16.5N  74.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N  61.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/FRANKLIN
 
 
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