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Tropical Storm RICHARD (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM RICHARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL192010
0300 UTC FRI OCT 22 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* HONDURAS FROM THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF RICHARD.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  80.5W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OR 160 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  80.5W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  80.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.8N  81.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.8N  81.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.0N  82.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.5N  84.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.5N  87.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 19.5N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 21.5N  89.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N  80.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BEVEN
 
 
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