Tropical Storm RICHARD

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TROPICAL STORM RICHARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL192010
1500 UTC THU OCT 21 2010
 
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF RICHARD.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  80.4W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 135 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  80.4W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  80.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.0N  80.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.9N  80.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.0N  81.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.2N  82.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 17.4N  85.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 19.5N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 22.0N  89.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N  80.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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