Subtropical Depression SEVENTEEN

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SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172010
1500 UTC WED OCT 06 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  68.0W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  68.0W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N  67.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.5N  68.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 24.2N  68.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 24.9N  67.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 26.1N  65.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 29.3N  58.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 33.4N  47.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 38.0N  34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N  68.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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