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Hurricane KARL


ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132010
0300 UTC FRI SEP 17 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO CABO ROJO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ
* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  94.5W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  30SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  94.5W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  94.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.7N  95.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.7N  96.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 19.5N  98.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 19.5N 100.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N  94.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Friday, 15-Apr-2011 12:09:17 UTC