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Tropical Storm KARL


ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KARL SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132010
1230 UTC THU SEP 16 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM LA CRUZ SOUTHWARD TO PALMA SOLA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE
THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS
...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.
 
HURRICANE WARNINGS WILL BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF
MAINLAND MEXICO LATER THIS MORNING.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  92.2W AT 16/1230Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  70 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 45NE  45SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  40SE  60SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  92.2W AT 16/1230Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  91.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.1N  93.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.5N  94.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.8N  96.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.0N  98.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 21.0N 101.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 21.0N 103.5W...INLAND POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N  92.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Friday, 15-Apr-2011 12:09:17 UTC