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Tropical Storm KARL


ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132010
0900 UTC WED SEP 15 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL AT THE
MEXICO/BELIZE BORDER NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NORTHERN BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY TO THE MEXICO/BELIZE
BORDER
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  86.7W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  86.7W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  86.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.1N  88.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.0N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.7N  92.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.3N  94.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.4N  97.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 21.0N 100.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N  86.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Friday, 15-Apr-2011 12:09:17 UTC