Tropical Storm KARL

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TROPICAL STORM KARL SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132010
730 AM CDT THU SEP 16 2010

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FOUND THAT KARL WAS
SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK BY ABOUT 30 N MI.  THE PLANE
MEASURED A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 987 MB...WITH FLIGHT-LEVEL AND SFMR
WINDS SUPPORTING AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 55 KT.  THIS SPECIAL
ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUED TO SHIFT THE FIRST 36-48 HR OF THE
FORECAST TRACK SOUTHWARD AND TO SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE THE
INTENSITY FORECAST.

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      16/1230Z 19.7N  92.2W    55 KT
 12HR VT     16/1800Z 20.1N  93.7W    65 KT
 24HR VT     17/0600Z 20.5N  94.5W    75 KT
 36HR VT     17/1800Z 20.8N  96.8W    85 KT
 48HR VT     18/0600Z 21.0N  98.5W    75 KT...INLAND
 72HR VT     19/0600Z 21.0N 101.0W    25 KT...INLAND
 96HR VT     20/0600Z 21.0N 103.5W    20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120HR VT     21/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
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