Tropical Depression TEN
ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010
0300 UTC MON SEP 06 2010
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED 2 3 13 29 50 NA NA
TROP DEPRESSION 41 20 38 40 32 NA NA
TROPICAL STORM 57 72 46 30 17 NA NA
HURRICANE 1 5 3 2 1 NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 1 5 3 2 1 NA NA
HUR CAT 2 X 1 X X X NA NA
HUR CAT 3 X X X X X NA NA
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X NA NA
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X NA NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35KT 45KT 30KT 25KT 20KT NA NA
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
AUSTIN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X 5( 5) 10(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
BROWNSVILLE TX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X 16(16) 7(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
GFMX 250N 960W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LA PESCA MX 34 X 14(14) 14(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
LA PESCA MX 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
TAMPICO MX 34 X 10(10) 4(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
TUXPAN MX 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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