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Tropical Storm HERMINE


ZCZC MIATCDAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102010
1000 AM CDT TUE SEP 07 2010
 
HERMINE CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS BUT IS
MAINTAINING A WELL-DEFINED PRESENTATION ON RADAR IMAGERY.  SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS SHOW WINDS IN THE 30 TO 35 KT RANGE OVER THE EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE OF THE CIRCULATION...SO THE SYSTEM IS BEING MAINTAINED
AS A TROPICAL STORM FOR THIS ADVISORY.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS
EXPECTED AS HERMINE IS FORECAST TO MOVE FARTHER INLAND...AND ALL
COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER
TODAY.
 
SURFACE AND RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT HERMINE HAS BEEN MOVING
SLIGHTLY RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ESTIMATES...350/15.  A GENERAL
NORTH-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS BRINGING HERMINE...OR ITS REMNANTS...WELL INLAND
OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.  THIS TRACK FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY TO THE
EAST OF THE PREVIOUS ONE...TO ACCOUNT FOR THE INITIAL MOTION AND
POSITION.
 
THE PRIMARY HAZARD ASSOCIATED WITH HERMINE WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL
THAT IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO THE SOUTH-CENTRAL PART OF THE
UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      07/1500Z 28.3N  98.2W    35 KT
 12HR VT     08/0000Z 30.1N  99.2W    25 KT...INLAND
 24HR VT     08/1200Z 32.3N  99.9W    20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36HR VT     09/0000Z 34.9N  99.3W    20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48HR VT     09/1200Z 37.6N  97.7W    20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72HR VT     10/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/CANGIALOSI
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Friday, 15-Apr-2011 12:09:12 UTC