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Tropical Storm EARL


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TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL     AL072010
1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 03 2010
 
...EARL WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...EXPECTED TO BRING RAIN AND
STRONG WINDS TO PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND AND ATLANTIC CANADA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.0N 69.7W
ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM SSE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS EASTWARD AROUND
CAPE COD TO SAGAMORE BEACH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS
VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF WATCH HILL
RHODE ISLAND AND FOR ALL OF LONG ISLAND.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM WESTWARD TO DIGBY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD...NANTUCKET ISLAND...AND
BLOCK ISLAND
* STONINGTON MAINE TO EASTPORT MAINE
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT
LAWRENCE AND FROM SHEDIAC TO TIDNISH
* THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* POINT ESCUMINAC TO SHEDIAC NEW BRUNSWICK
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO CANADA...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA. 
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.7 WEST. EARL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/HR...AND A GENERAL
NORTHEASTWARD OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...EARL WILL PASS OFFSHORE OF CAPE COD OVERNIGHT AND REACH THE
COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA ON SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.
 
EARL IS A LARGE TROPICAL STORM. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WINDS...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD INTO THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AREA FROM RHODE ISLAND TO COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS
TONIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL REACH THE WARNING AREA IN
DOWNEAST MAINE EARLY SATURDAY...AND SPREAD INTO THE WARNING AREA IN
THE CANADIAN MARITIMES ON SATURDAY.
 
STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS COULD RISE BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET
ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FROM NEW JERSEY NORTHWARD TO CAPE COD INCLUDING
LONG ISLAND SOUND. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED
BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
 
RAINFALL...EARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCH RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OVER EASTERN NEW ENGLAND...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE.
 
SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST
OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NEW JERSEY NORTHWARD THROUGH SATURDAY.
THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP
CURRENTS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
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