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Hurricane EARL (Text)

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HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
2100 UTC TUE AUG 31 2010
 
AMENDED TO UPDATE HURRICANE WATCH AREA

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES FROM NORTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHEASTWARD TO SURF CITY.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* CAPE FEAR TO SURF CITY
 
INTERESTS FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF EARL.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  68.8W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE  90SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..470NE 240SE 180SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  68.8W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  68.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.3N  70.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE  90SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.6N  72.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 28.0N  74.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.0N  75.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 36.0N  73.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 44.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 56.0N  55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N  68.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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