Tropical Storm EARL

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TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
2100 UTC THU AUG 26 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  38.8W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE  50SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  38.8W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  38.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 15.6N  41.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 15.9N  44.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.3N  47.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.7N  50.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 85NE  75SE  60SW  85NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.2N  55.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 20.6N  60.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 23.0N  62.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N  38.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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