Tropical Storm ALEX

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TROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012010
0900 UTC TUE JUN 29 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO
GRANDE
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  91.9W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 45NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  40SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  91.9W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  91.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.8N  92.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT...105NE 100SE  45SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 24.0N  94.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.8N  95.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 25.3N  97.4W...NEAR NE MEXICAN COAST
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 26.0N 100.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 27.5N 102.5W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z...DISSIPATED INLAND
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N  91.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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