Tropical Storm ALEX

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TROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012010
0900 UTC MON JUN 28 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY FOR PORTIONS OF
THE COASTAL REGIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  91.6W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  91.6W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  91.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.3N  91.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  45SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.4N  92.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.4N  93.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.3N  94.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 24.6N  97.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...220NE 180SE 130SW 180NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 25.6N  99.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 26.5N 101.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N  91.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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