ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009 200 AM PDT MON OCT 19 2009 ...RICK WEAKENS FURTHER BUT STILL A DANGEROUS HURRICANE... AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. INTERESTS IN WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS HURRICANE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.1 WEST OR ABOUT 380 MILES ...615 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. RICK IS THEN FORECAST TO ACCELERATE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST BY LATE TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE NEARING SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY LATE TUESDAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RICK IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ALTHOUGH ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...RICK IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE A DANGEROUS HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES. LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY RICK WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST AND THE WEST CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...CAUSING POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS. ...SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT INFORMATION... LOCATION...17.5N 111.1W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN
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