ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009 0900 UTC MON OCT 19 2009 AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. INTERESTS IN WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS HURRICANE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 111.1W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......150NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 200SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 111.1W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 110.7W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.4N 111.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.5N 112.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.8N 111.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...135NE 135SE 120SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 22.3N 110.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 135SE 105SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 25.5N 107.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 111.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN
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