Hurricane GUILLERMO

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HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102009
0300 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 135.9W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE  90SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 135.9W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 135.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 20.3N 137.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 21.1N 140.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 22.0N 143.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 23.1N 145.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 25.5N 151.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 28.0N 156.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 30.5N 162.5W...DISSIPATED
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 135.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/AVILA
 
 
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