Tropical Storm GUILLERMO

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TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102009
1500 UTC THU AUG 13 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 121.6W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  75SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 121.6W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 121.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.5N 123.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.9N 126.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.3N 129.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.8N 131.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.5N 137.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  10SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 20.0N 143.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 20.0N 148.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 121.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/RUBIO/BEVEN
 
 
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