Hurricane FELICIA

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HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082009
2100 UTC THU AUG 06 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 132.7W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT.......105NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 132.7W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 132.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 17.2N 133.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...105NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.3N 135.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.2N 137.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.7N 140.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE   0SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 19.7N 151.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 19.5N 156.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 132.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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