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Tropical Depression ENRIQUE


ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072009
200 PM PDT THU AUG 06 2009
 
MICROWAVE AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGEST THAT ENRIQUE IS
LOCATED A LITTLE NORTHEAST OF THE EARLIER ESTIMATES.  DEEP
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE HAS CONTINUED TO WANE THIS
AFTERNOON.  DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE SUBSEQUENTLY DECREASED AND 
SUPPORT LOWERING THE INITIAL INTENSITY TO 30 KT.
 
ENRIQUE IS HEADED TOWARD EVEN COOLER WATER WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE
THE WEAKENING PROCESS.  THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
A REMNANT LOW WITHIN 24 HOURS AND DISSIPATE SHORTLY THEREAFTER.
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 310/15 KT.  THE TRACK GUIDANCE
NOW PREDICTS LESS OF A BEND TOWARD THE WEST AS ENRIQUE APPARENTLY
BECOMES LESS INVOLVED WITH THE LARGE CIRCULATION OF HURRICANE
FELICIA. BECAUSE OF THAT...AND THE RELOCATION OF THE CENTER...THE
NHC TRACK FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED NORTHWARD.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      06/2100Z 22.5N 128.3W    30 KT
 12HR VT     07/0600Z 23.5N 130.0W    25 KT
 24HR VT     07/1800Z 24.8N 132.4W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     08/0600Z 25.7N 135.1W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     08/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Thursday, 31-Dec-2009 12:09:20 UTC