Hurricane CARLOS
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HURRICANE CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042009
1500 UTC WED JUL 15 2009
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 129.5W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 30SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 129.5W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 129.3W
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 10.5N 130.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 10.9N 132.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 11.3N 134.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 11.6N 136.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 12.0N 142.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 12.0N 147.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 12.0N 153.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.3N 129.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
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FORECASTER BRENNAN
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