Hurricane CARLOS
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HURRICANE CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042009
2100 UTC TUE JUL 14 2009
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 128.2W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 30SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 128.2W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 127.9W
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 10.3N 129.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 10.7N 130.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 11.1N 132.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 11.5N 135.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 12.0N 140.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 12.0N 145.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 12.0N 152.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.0N 128.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
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FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN
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